TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kupcic and Aleksa Oparnica in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against Aleksa Oparnica. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Oparnica' if Aleksa Oparnica advances against Jan Kupcic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kupcic and Aleksa Oparnica in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against Aleksa Oparnica. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Oparnica' if Aleksa Oparnica advances against Jan Kupcic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess probabilities, as profitable trading relies on correctly predicting the event's result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays up-to-date with the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kupcic vs Oparnica match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Jan Kupcic or Aleksa Oparnica, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact perceptions of their chances. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in the competitive landscape, could also play a role. Even public sentiment and social media discussions can sometimes influence trading volume and price movements, especially as Oct 25, 2026 approaches and the event draws closer.