TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Sabanov and Luka Curavic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Sabanov' if Ivan Sabanov advances against Luka Curavic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Curavic' if Luka Curavic advances against Ivan Sabanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Sabanov and Luka Curavic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Sabanov' if Ivan Sabanov advances against Luka Curavic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Curavic' if Luka Curavic advances against Ivan Sabanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and isn’t influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ivan Sabanov vs Luka Curavic match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could all impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even general momentum shifts in the tournament, could also move the market. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could affect the odds in this market.