TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Heorhii Shylov and Kristijan Juhas in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Heorhii Shylov' if Heorhii Shylov advances against Kristijan Juhas. This market will resolve to 'Kristijan Juhas' if Kristijan Juhas advances against Heorhii Shylov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Heorhii Shylov and Kristijan Juhas in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Heorhii Shylov' if Heorhii Shylov advances against Kristijan Juhas. This market will resolve to 'Kristijan Juhas' if Kristijan Juhas advances against Heorhii Shylov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and insights beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions among market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, leading to differences in implied probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, signaling growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the event’s outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heorhii Shylov vs Kristijan Juhas match as determined by the relevant sporting authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result, providing a clear and definitive settlement for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly impact perceptions of each player’s chances. Public commentary from experts or analysts offering revised predictions could also sway market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants might signal new information or a shift in confidence, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.