TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giannicola Misasi and Richard Lacis in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Richard Lacis. This market will resolve to 'Richard Lacis' if Richard Lacis advances against Giannicola Misasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giannicola Misasi and Richard Lacis in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Richard Lacis. This market will resolve to 'Richard Lacis' if Richard Lacis advances against Giannicola Misasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the price on Polymarket in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to interesting discrepancies, and potentially, opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy shares representing a particular outcome, the price rises, indicating increased confidence. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system driven by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Misasi vs Lacis match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner and trigger payout of the corresponding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Giannicola Misasi or Richard Lacis could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, or even changes in coaching personnel, could also impact the market. Broadly, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ relative chances of winning is likely to cause movement in the price on Polymarket.