TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabrielius Guzauskas and Luka Curavic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabrielius Guzauskas' if Gabrielius Guzauskas advances against Luka Curavic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Curavic' if Luka Curavic advances against Gabrielius Guzauskas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabrielius Guzauskas and Luka Curavic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabrielius Guzauskas' if Gabrielius Guzauskas advances against Luka Curavic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Curavic' if Luka Curavic advances against Gabrielius Guzauskas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a constant product formula to determine the price, ensuring that the total value of all shares remains constant. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gabrielius Guzauskas vs Luka Curavic match, as reported by the governing body for this competition. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market and distributing payouts to winning share holders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and impact the odds, reflecting evolving expectations about the match’s likely outcome.