TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Deney Wassermann and Goncalo Da Rosa Castro in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deney Wassermann' if Deney Wassermann advances against Goncalo Da Rosa Castro. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Da Rosa Castro' if Goncalo Da Rosa Castro advances against Deney Wassermann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Deney Wassermann and Goncalo Da Rosa Castro in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deney Wassermann' if Deney Wassermann advances against Goncalo Da Rosa Castro. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Da Rosa Castro' if Goncalo Da Rosa Castro advances against Deney Wassermann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the event’s likelihood. This allows for a transparent and efficient way to gauge public opinion on the Wassermann vs. Castro match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wassermann vs. Castro match as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome. It's important to monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the playing conditions or referee assignments could also impact the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Monitoring sports news, expert analysis, and social media discussions can provide valuable insights into potential catalysts that could move this market as the event draws closer.