TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Deney Wassermann and Gabrielius Guzauskas in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:02AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deney Wassermann' if Deney Wassermann advances against Gabrielius Guzauskas. This market will resolve to 'Gabrielius Guzauskas' if Gabrielius Guzauskas advances against Deney Wassermann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Deney Wassermann and Gabrielius Guzauskas in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:02AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deney Wassermann' if Deney Wassermann advances against Gabrielius Guzauskas. This market will resolve to 'Gabrielius Guzauskas' if Gabrielius Guzauskas advances against Deney Wassermann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe Wassermann will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if more traders favor Guzauskas, the price of his shares will rise, showing how the collective prediction evolves.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Wassermann vs Guzauskas match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official match results as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available data, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s fitness or strategy could also cause the odds to adjust. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also impact trading activity and the overall price of shares in this market.