TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Tixhon and Carles Cordoba in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Tixhon' if David Tixhon advances against Carles Cordoba. This market will resolve to 'Carles Cordoba' if Carles Cordoba advances against David Tixhon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Tixhon and Carles Cordoba in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Tixhon' if David Tixhon advances against Carles Cordoba. This market will resolve to 'Carles Cordoba' if Carles Cordoba advances against David Tixhon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds on Polymarket diverging from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, while a 'no' share represents the probability of the opposite outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds always reflect the most up-to-date information and expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tixhon vs Cordoba match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match. This ensures a fair and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either player could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment, could also impact trading volume and price. Major upsets or surprising performances in related events are also potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market might evolve leading up to Oct 28, 2026.