TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Mauro Mavracic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Mauro Mavracic. This market will resolve to 'Mauro Mavracic' if Mauro Mavracic advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Mauro Mavracic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Mauro Mavracic. This market will resolve to 'Mauro Mavracic' if Mauro Mavracic advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or pre-defined probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paolini vs Mavracic match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts, shifts in betting trends at sportsbooks, and even social media discussions can all influence trading activity. A strong showing by either Paolini or Mavracic in a warm-up event, or even a change in the announced playing surface, could all contribute to movement in this market.