TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Matthias Ujvary in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Matthias Ujvary. This market will resolve to 'Matthias Ujvary' if Matthias Ujvary advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Matthias Ujvary in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Matthias Ujvary. This market will resolve to 'Matthias Ujvary' if Matthias Ujvary advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Paolini vs Ujvary match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in response to new information and changing opinions about the Paolini vs Ujvary match. The current volume suggests significant interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paolini vs Ujvary match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is finalized and validated. This timeframe allows for the official results to be confirmed and processed, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could trigger movement. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in related tournaments or the release of updated player statistics could all contribute to changes in the odds for the Paolini vs Ujvary match. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.