TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Matej Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Matej Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Paolini and Matej Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Paolini' if Andrea Paolini advances against Matej Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Andrea Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like house edge and perceived public biases into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly wagering on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to traditional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share representing a particular outcome in the Paolini vs Sabanov match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paolini vs Sabanov match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in related tournaments or matches involving either player might also lead to adjustments in the implied probabilities reflected in this market.