TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Wagner and Ivan Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:43AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Wagner' if Alexander Wagner advances against Ivan Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Sabanov' if Ivan Sabanov advances against Alexander Wagner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Wagner and Ivan Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:43AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Wagner' if Alexander Wagner advances against Ivan Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Sabanov' if Ivan Sabanov advances against Alexander Wagner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, and reflects the collective intelligence of those participating.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Alexander Wagner vs Ivan Sabanov match. Verification will rely on widely available and trusted sources that report the final score, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all lead to price movements. Unexpected performance in prior matches or announcements about strategy could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes cause noticeable shifts in the odds, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment.