TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessio Vasquez and Mak Mikovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Vasquez' if Alessio Vasquez advances against Mak Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Mak Mikovic' if Mak Mikovic advances against Alessio Vasquez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessio Vasquez and Mak Mikovic in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Vasquez' if Alessio Vasquez advances against Mak Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Mak Mikovic' if Mak Mikovic advances against Alessio Vasquez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and trade on them. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players or the match itself. Examining both can be a useful strategy for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Vasquez vs Mikovic match. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; traders who believe an outcome is more likely will bid up the price of shares representing that outcome, while those who believe it's less likely will offer to sell.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vasquez vs Mikovic match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. All outstanding shares will be settled based on whether the outcome represented by those shares occurred according to the official result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of Alessio Vasquez or Mak Mikovic, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in expert analysis or social media discussions, can also play a role, influencing traders’ beliefs and driving price movements. Major upsets in related matches could also affect the perceived probabilities.