TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessio Basile and Ivan Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Basile' if Alessio Basile advances against Ivan Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Sabanov' if Ivan Sabanov advances against Alessio Basile. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessio Basile and Ivan Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessio Basile' if Alessio Basile advances against Ivan Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Sabanov' if Ivan Sabanov advances against Alessio Basile. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Alessio Basile vs Ivan Sabanov match. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the Alessio Basile vs Ivan Sabanov match. The market’s efficiency relies on active participation and the availability of information.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alessio Basile vs Ivan Sabanov match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final result that will settle this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could all cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also move the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market for the Alessio Basile vs Ivan Sabanov match.