TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Lavrnja and Riccardo Donato Logrippo in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Lavrnja' if Aleksandar Lavrnja advances against Riccardo Donato Logrippo. This market will resolve to 'Riccardo Donato Logrippo' if Riccardo Donato Logrippo advances against Aleksandar Lavrnja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Lavrnja and Riccardo Donato Logrippo in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Lavrnja' if Aleksandar Lavrnja advances against Riccardo Donato Logrippo. This market will resolve to 'Riccardo Donato Logrippo' if Riccardo Donato Logrippo advances against Aleksandar Lavrnja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates the market's aggregate assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lavrnja vs Logrippo match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when this market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily affect the price, although the market typically self-corrects over time. Monitoring tennis news and analysis leading up to Oct 18, 2026 is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities in this market.