TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksa Oparnica and Matej Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Oparnica' if Aleksa Oparnica advances against Matej Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Aleksa Oparnica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksa Oparnica and Matej Sabanov in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Oparnica' if Aleksa Oparnica advances against Matej Sabanov. This market will resolve to 'Matej Sabanov' if Matej Sabanov advances against Aleksa Oparnica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of shares adjusts, reflecting the collective assessment of the market participants. The market's price is entirely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Oparnica vs Sabanov match, as determined by the governing body of the tournament. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market. The final result will be publicly available and transparently applied to settle the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Oparnica or Sabanov could also lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts could sway the market. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before Oct 18, 2026.