TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksa Oparnica and Karim Al-Amin in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Oparnica' if Aleksa Oparnica advances against Karim Al-Amin. This market will resolve to 'Karim Al-Amin' if Karim Al-Amin advances against Aleksa Oparnica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksa Oparnica and Karim Al-Amin in the M15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksa Oparnica' if Aleksa Oparnica advances against Karim Al-Amin. This market will resolve to 'Karim Al-Amin' if Karim Al-Amin advances against Aleksa Oparnica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each fighter winning the Oparnica vs Al-Amin fight.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Oparnica vs Al-Amin fight, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the fighters’ preparation or physical condition would likely have a significant impact. Public betting patterns from traditional sportsbooks, while not directly reflected on Polymarket, could also indirectly influence trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move the market.