TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Jinar and Noris Nedelcovici in the M15 Antalya, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Jinar' if Luca Jinar advances against Noris Nedelcovici. This market will resolve to 'Noris Nedelcovici' if Noris Nedelcovici advances against Luca Jinar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Jinar and Noris Nedelcovici in the M15 Antalya, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Jinar' if Luca Jinar advances against Noris Nedelcovici. This market will resolve to 'Noris Nedelcovici' if Noris Nedelcovici advances against Luca Jinar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand for each possible result.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Antalya tennis match between Luca Jinar and Noris Nedelcovici, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The specific details of the match – who wins, and by what margin – will determine which outcome in this market is considered correct. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also lead to reassessment of their relative strengths. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting trends could all contribute to movement in this market before Nov 8, 2026. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into how the market is evolving.