TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Coquelin and Oliver Bonding in the M15 Ann Arbor, MI, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Coquelin' if Hugo Coquelin advances against Oliver Bonding. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Bonding' if Oliver Bonding advances against Hugo Coquelin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Coquelin and Oliver Bonding in the M15 Ann Arbor, MI, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Coquelin' if Hugo Coquelin advances against Oliver Bonding. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Bonding' if Oliver Bonding advances against Hugo Coquelin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets adjust more quickly to breaking news or changing circumstances than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Coquelin vs Bonding match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Coquelin vs Bonding match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the confirmed outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader tournament results might also impact sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in expert analysis or social media discussions, could also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on Polymarket.