TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between M. Herzliya and Kabilio Jaffa in the Liga Leumit league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will resolve according to whether M. Herzliya, Kabilio Jaffa, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the M. Herzliya vs Kabilio Jaffa professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: M. Herzliya win, Kabilio Jaffa win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within the regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's procedures. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting biases or the sportsbook’s need to balance action. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome of the Herzliya vs Kabilio Jaffa match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Herzliya vs Kabilio Jaffa match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and adjust probabilities in real-time based on the collective judgment of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Herzliya vs Kabilio Jaffa match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment and shift the odds. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or significant changes in public perception of their relative strengths, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate new information or a shift in expectations, causing the price to move rapidly.