TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Lysyi Anatoliy and Yarovyi Viacheslav in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 19 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lysyi Anatoliy' if Lysyi Anatoliy wins against Yarovyi Viacheslav. This market will resolve to 'Yarovyi Viacheslav' if Yarovyi Viacheslav wins against Lysyi Anatoliy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Lysyi Anatoliy and Yarovyi Viacheslav in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 19 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lysyi Anatoliy' if Lysyi Anatoliy wins against Yarovyi Viacheslav. This market will resolve to 'Yarovyi Viacheslav' if Yarovyi Viacheslav wins against Lysyi Anatoliy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers’ assessments. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Significant differences may present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting price variations between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive prediction. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results released by the relevant electoral authorities following the Ukrainian parliamentary election. The market will determine which candidate is leading based on these official results. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is definitively established and reported by trusted sources.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major shifts in polling data, endorsements from influential political figures, or unexpected developments in the political landscape could all influence trader sentiment. Any news regarding candidate campaigns, changes in electoral laws, or geopolitical events impacting the election could also lead to price fluctuations. Additionally, significant media coverage or public statements from key stakeholders could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.