TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Gen.G: 9+
- Kalshi
Gen.G: 9+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:21h:41m
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This event tracks specific in-game performance metrics for a professional League of Legends match between two teams. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of strategic in-game actions are met during a designated game within the match. The event reflects the competitive dynamics and strategic gameplay characteristic of high-level esports.
The event resolves based on official statistics from game 3 of the Worlds 2026 LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match scheduled for November 4, 2026. If the match or game is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before any relevant statistics are recorded, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the last fair price. If the game begins and is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, resolution uses officially recorded statistics up to the point of interruption, voided play excluded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd stacks up against professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different perspectives, especially when incorporating information not fully reflected in traditional betting lines. While sportsbooks primarily rely on statistical models and expert analysis, this market benefits from a diverse range of participants, potentially uncovering overlooked factors. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the crowd believes there's an edge, or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total tower kills. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of participants regarding the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tower kill count from the LYON versus Gen.G game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the final results on Kalshi after the game concludes and the data has been verified. This process ensures a fair and accurate settlement for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either LYON or Gen.G could influence trader sentiment. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early tower takedowns or dominant lane matchups, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, broader trends in League of Legends esports, like meta shifts or changes in team compositions, could also play a role in shaping the market's direction. Analyzing these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.