TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
LYON: 10+
- Kalshi
LYON: 10+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:04h:37m
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This event tracks the performance of two esports teams in a specific game of a competitive League of Legends match. It focuses on whether each team reaches a predetermined number of in-game kills, reflecting their offensive effectiveness during that game. The outcome depends solely on the official statistics recorded by the tournament organizers.
The event resolves based on whether LYON achieves at least 10 champion kills or Gen.G achieves at least 18 champion kills in Game 3 of the specified match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before any relevant statistics are recorded, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the last fair price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on officially recorded statistics up to the point of forfeit, unless voided by the governing body. For matches shortened or replayed, only officially published and counted statistics determine the outcome. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team compositions, player form, and draft strategies – both sets of odds will adjust. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as they approach the event date, because of the diverse information considered by traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total kills in Game 3. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the result. The market's price movements are driven by new information and shifts in trader sentiment, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total kills scored by both teams in Game 3 of the series will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team strategies would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the series leading up to Game 3 will also be closely watched, as it provides insights into team form and potential strategies. Major upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly affect this market by altering perceptions of team strength and momentum.