TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
LYON
- Kalshi
LYON - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:21h:49m
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This market focuses on determining which team secures the first kill in Game 3 of a League of Legends match between LYON and Gen.G at the Worlds 2026 tournament. The outcome depends on whether LYON, Gen.G, or neither team achieves this early-game milestone.
If LYON records the first blood in game 3 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gen.G records the first blood in game 3 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neither team records the first blood in game 3 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments based on trader activity. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player matchups, or even external factors influencing the game. It's common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by identifying which team, LYON or Gen.G, records the first blood in Game 3 of the series. Official game logs and broadcasts will serve as the basis for verification. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that occurs, and 0 for all other possible outcomes. Traders who correctly predicted the first blood team will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player health, team strategies, or in-game performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about roster changes or adjustments to the game meta could also impact the odds. Furthermore, the results of previous games in the series, and overall team momentum, will likely play a role in shaping market expectations. Major upsets in other concurrent matches could also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess team strengths and weaknesses.