TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Gen.G: 3+
- Kalshi
Gen.G: 3+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:21h:03m
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The match focuses on tracking dragon kills in a specific game of a competitive League of Legends tournament. Each market evaluates whether a team achieves a certain number of dragon kills during the game, with outcomes determined by official game statistics.
These markets resolve based on the number of dragon kills (including elder dragons) achieved by either LYON or Gen.G in game 3 of their Worlds 2026 League of Legends match scheduled for November 4, 2026, at 5:00 PM EST. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team records the exact threshold of dragon kills stated in the market's primary rule during the game. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before any relevant statistics are published, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves at the last fair price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, resolution is based on officially recorded statistics at the time of the event, provided they are not voided by the governing body. Statistics from any voided portions of replayed matches are excluded from resolution calculations. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the opinions of a diverse group of informed traders. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and significant discrepancies between the two may indicate potential value in either market. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, allowing you to see the current bid and ask prices and the volume of contracts available at each price point. This dynamic pricing system aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of Dragons killed during the LYON vs. Gen.G Game 3 match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game data and sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for LYON or Gen.G could shift expectations. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series, or even during the draft phase of Game 3 itself, could also significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the game’s conditions or any controversies surrounding the teams could also cause volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team securing more Dragon kills will likely move this market.