TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
LYON: 10+
- Kalshi
LYON: 10+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:01h:41m
$
This event tracks specific performance thresholds for two teams in a professional esports match. It focuses on whether each team achieves a designated number of in-game eliminations during a single game of the competition. The outcome depends entirely on the official match statistics recorded by the tournament organizers.
The event resolves based on official champion kill statistics from game 2 of the Worlds 2026 LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match scheduled for November 4, 2026. If LYON secures 10 or more champion kills, its market resolves to Yes. If Gen.G achieves 18 or more champion kills, its market resolves to Yes. Postponements beyond 48 hours, cancellations before any relevant statistics are recorded, forfeits before play begins, or incomplete games all resolve markets to the last fair price unless official statistics are available. Forfeits after play has started or shortened games use officially recorded statistics at the time of interruption. Any replayed or voided portions of the match do not count toward resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and collective belief. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes for the total kills in Game 2, and the price of these contracts reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market efficiently incorporates new information.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total kills for both teams in Game 2 of the LYON versus Gen.G League of Legends match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and contract payouts shortly after the match concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for LYON or Gen.G could impact perceived probabilities. In-game performance during Game 1 of the series will likely be a major catalyst, as it provides insight into each team’s current strengths and weaknesses. Unexpected announcements regarding the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Overall, any information that alters the expected outcome of Game 2 has the potential to move this market.