TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
LYON: 1+
- Kalshi
LYON: 1+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:04h:14m
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The event tracks dragon kills in a specific League of Legends match between LYON and Gen.G during the Worlds 2026 tournament. Outcomes depend on whether each team secures a certain number of dragon kills, including elder dragons, during game 2. The match is scheduled for November 4, 2026, at 5:00 PM EST.
The event resolves based on the number of dragon kills, including elder dragons, achieved by LYON or Gen.G in game 2 of their Worlds 2026 match. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of dragon kills for either team. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to the last fair price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, resolution uses officially recorded statistics at the time of the interruption, provided they are not voided. If no official statistics are available due to an incomplete match, the market resolves to the last fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing beliefs about the likelihood of certain outcomes. It’s important to note that sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management, while this market is driven by informed speculation and trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total Dragon Kills. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in various potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of Dragons killed during the game between LYON and Gen.G will be used to determine the winning contracts. This number will be sourced from official League of Legends game data and verified against trusted esports statistics websites. The resolution will be based on the final, official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either LYON or Gen.G could shift expectations. In-game performance during the early stages of the match, such as early Dragon control or lane dominance, could also cause significant price movements. Unexpected drafts or innovative strategies employed by either team could also impact the market, as traders adjust their assessments of the likelihood of different Dragon kill totals.