TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
LYON: 3+
- Kalshi
LYON: 3+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:04h:13m
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This event tracks specific in-game performance metrics for a professional League of Legends match between two teams. The outcome depends on whether predetermined statistical thresholds are met during the first game of the match. Resolution is based on official game statistics published by the tournament organizers.
If LYON records 3+ tower kills in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gen.G records 9+ tower kills in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has identified a mispricing relative to the true probability of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total tower kills. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of expectations. The market's depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates the level of agreement among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tower kill count from the first game between LYON and Gen.G will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either LYON or Gen.G could shift expectations. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event might also provide insights into team strengths and weaknesses. Unexpected announcements about the game itself, such as patch updates or rule changes, could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative chances of success could move this market.