TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
LYON
- Kalshi
LYON - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:01h:13m
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This market focuses on determining which team secures the first dragon kill in the initial game of a competitive League of Legends match between LYON and Gen.G. The outcome depends on the gameplay dynamics and strategies employed by both teams during the early stages of the match.
If LYON records the first dragon in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gen.G records the first dragon in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neither team records the first dragon in game 1 of the Worlds 2026: LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds initially set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may place more weight on pre-match analysis and public perception, while this market incorporates real-time information and the evolving opinions of those directly trading on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks that could influence the probability of a particular team securing the first dragon. Over time, these odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and is factored into both systems.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team – LYON or Gen.G – being the first to secure the dragon. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and insights.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as securing the first dragon in Game 1 of the LYON versus Gen.G match. The official game results, as reported by the League of Legends event organizers, will be used to determine the winning outcome. No further information about the resolution process is available at this time.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either LYON or Gen.G could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the early stages of the match, such as early kills or objective control, could also rapidly move the odds. Unexpected drafts or bans during the champion selection phase could also signal a shift in strategy and impact the perceived likelihood of either team securing the first dragon. Major upsets in other concurrent matches could also indirectly affect the market.