TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
LYON: 1+
- Kalshi
LYON: 1+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:01h:58m
$
The match focuses on tracking dragon kills in the first game of a competitive League of Legends showdown between two teams. Each market evaluates whether a specific team secures a certain number of dragon kills, including the powerful elder dragon, during this critical early phase of play.
These markets resolve based on the number of dragon kills, including elder dragons, achieved by either LYON or Gen.G in Game 1 of their Worlds 2026 League of Legends match scheduled for November 4, 2026, at 5:00 PM EST. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team records the exact threshold of dragon kills outlined in each market's primary rule. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before any relevant play occurs, markets resolve to the last fair price. If play begins and is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, resolution depends on officially recorded statistics at the time of the interruption; voided statistics from replayed segments are excluded. The governing body's official statistics govern all resolutions, with Kalshi emphasizing no official affiliation with the League.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it may indicate disagreement about the likely result of the game. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion, as each provides unique insights into the potential for LYON to secure dragon kills.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of dragons killed in Game 1. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic representation of expectations. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by factors like team performance, player form, and strategic analysis.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of dragons killed by LYON in Game 1 of the match against Gen.G will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to collect on winning contracts or fulfill losing positions based on the final dragon kill count.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team compositions for either LYON or Gen.G would likely cause price fluctuations. In-game performance during the early stages of the match, such as early dragon control or successful ganks, could also shift the odds. Analyst predictions and community sentiment, particularly on platforms like social media, may also play a role in influencing trader behavior and, consequently, the price of contracts. Unexpected strategic decisions during the game could also move this market.