TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Gen.G
- Kalshi
Gen.G - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:00h:06m
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This market centers on the outcome of a specific League of Legends match between LYON and Gen.G at the Worlds 2026 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in the match scheduled for November 4, 2026. Bets will resolve based on the official match result, with special provisions for match disruptions.
The event resolves based on the result of the LYON vs. Gen.G League of Legends match at Worlds 2026, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. If LYON wins, that market resolves to Yes; if Gen.G wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where informed traders capitalize on mispricings. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of expectations for the LYON vs. Gen.G match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders directly bid on and offer contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for LYON to win, though the implied probability is constantly changing based on trading activity. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, providing transparency into the trading process.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the LYON vs. Gen.G match, as determined by the governing body of the esports league. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts once the resolution process is complete. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either LYON or Gen.G could impact trader sentiment. Major announcements about the tournament format or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, significant bets from well-known or respected traders on Kalshi can sometimes trigger follow-on activity. Monitoring esports news, social media, and the trading activity on Kalshi will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could influence the price of contracts.