TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lyon vs Crystal Palace: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Volume:
$114,499

Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 2:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,461
N/A
N/A
$24,117
Settled
No
kalshi

Crystal Palace wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,232
N/A
N/A
$21,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,983
N/A
N/A
$13,733
Settled
No
kalshi

Crystal Palace wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,177
N/A
N/A
$14,014
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,646
N/A
N/A
$3,615
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Lyon and Crystal Palace in the Europa League. The focus is on determining whether either team achieves a decisive victory margin as defined by specific goal differences. Resolutions depend strictly on the final score after regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcome scenarios across four distinct markets, each tied to different goal-margin thresholds for either Lyon or Crystal Palace to secure a qualified win. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Lyon wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Crystal Palace wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. If none of these conditions are met — such as a draw, a narrow win within the specified margins, or a win that does not surpass the required goal differential — all markets resolve to 'No.' The rules explicitly clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lyon vs Crystal Palace match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. You can view the historical price movement of these contracts, allowing you to analyze how predictions have shifted over time. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $114,499, and the total volume traded to date, which is $114,499. This provides insight into market activity and how much traders are wagering on each possible result in this spread market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a substantial amount of volume is traded, as the market efficiently incorporates new information and diverse perspectives.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. The more traders participate, the more efficiently the market reflects the collective forecast for the Lyon vs Crystal Palace match.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Lyon vs Crystal Palace match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the match, as determined by official sources. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on the verified outcome. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout according to the contract’s value at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Lyon or Crystal Palace would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff would also be catalysts. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.