TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Lyon and Angers. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Lyon and Angers in their professional Ligue 1 soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from the count. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing risk appetites and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. This creates a constantly updating forecast of the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be the total number of goals scored in the Lyon vs Angers match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result and the resulting payouts based on their positions in this market once the event has concluded and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lyon or Angers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff may also cause traders to reassess probabilities. Finally, any significant news related to team morale or motivation could also impact the market, as traders react to perceived changes in the likelihood of different goal totals.