TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Luca Van Assche. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Luca Van Assche. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and this market each have their own costs and limitations, which can influence the odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current price reflects the aggregated views of all traders on Polymarket regarding the Lyon Open match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lyon Open match between Valentin Vacherot and Luca Van Assche, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and reliable sources to determine the winning outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Lyon Open could also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or changes in betting odds from sportsbooks could prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.