TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ugo Humbert will advance against Corentin Moutet in their scheduled tennis match at the Lyon Open. Currently, Polymarket gives a 98.0% probability to the outcome of “Lyon Open: Completed Match: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as that will determine whether the match proceeds and this market resolves.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Corentin Moutet in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Corentin Moutet. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Ugo Humbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ugo Humbert versus Corentin Moutet match at the Lyon Open. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily impact the odds, as could broader shifts in public opinion regarding the players’ chances of winning. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.