TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Maxim Mrva in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Maxim Mrva in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by traders who are actively betting on the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular player, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market. The current price indicates what the market believes is the chance of a specific player winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lyon Open Qualification match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Maxim Mrva. The platform will verify the winner according to official tournament results, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results for either Pierre-Hugues Herbert or Maxim Mrva, would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions at the Lyon Open could also impact the perceived advantage of either player. Finally, significant betting activity – a large influx of traders taking one side of the market – could shift the odds, reflecting the changing sentiment and potentially signaling new information.