TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Dusan Lajovic in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Dusan Lajovic in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Maxim Mrva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Mrva vs Lajovic match, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to more accurate predictions over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy shares representing a particular player winning, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, providing a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Mrva vs Lajovic match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mrva vs Lajovic match as reported by the official tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Mrva vs Lajovic match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant trading volume driven by informed bettors or large-scale investment could cause noticeable price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.