TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Michael Mmoh in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Michael Mmoh. This market will resolve to 'Michael Mmoh' if Michael Mmoh advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Michael Mmoh in the Lyon Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Michael Mmoh. This market will resolve to 'Michael Mmoh' if Michael Mmoh advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a broader range of perspectives incorporated into the prediction market. If a significant difference exists between the two, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s a useful comparison for anyone analyzing the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price movements indicate how traders are assessing the players' chances of winning.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lyon Open Qualification match between Kyrian Jacquet and Michael Mmoh, as reported by official tournament sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome of the Jacquet vs Mmoh match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of a minor injury to either Jacquet or Mmoh could lead to a decrease in the price of shares representing their chance of winning. Unexpected weather conditions at the Lyon Open could also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over the other. Overall match analysis and updated player statistics released before the match will likely impact trading volume and price fluctuations.