TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Sebastian Baez in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Sebastian Baez in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, whereas this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses when forecasting the outcome of the Herbert vs Baez match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Herbert vs Baez match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's price, but significant price swings can still occur based on new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Herbert vs Baez match as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Herbert vs Baez match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could quickly move the market price, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential for price fluctuations.