TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or access to unique information. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than static sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand on Polymarket; there is no external influence on the pricing mechanism. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a particular outcome in the Musetti vs Fritz match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Musetti vs Fritz match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is officially confirmed. This process ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Nov 1, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.