TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Felix Balshaw in the Lyon Open will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 97.0% probability to “Lyon Open: Completed Match: Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as that is when the initial signal for match completion—or potential postponement—will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Felix Balshaw in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Felix Balshaw. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those observed at sportsbooks. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lyon Open match between Jaime Faria and Felix Balshaw, as reported by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on the available evidence and established tournament rules. The outcome will be determined by the official result, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Lyon Open could also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match's conclusion and the final outcome.