TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Stan Wawrinka in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Stan Wawrinka in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or differing information sources. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, injury risks, or even subjective factors like momentum. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing in the sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cobolli vs Wawrinka match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all market participants, providing a unique perspective on the likely result of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cobolli vs Wawrinka match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner. The resolution process aims to provide a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact trading behavior. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information.