TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Nys/Roger-Vasselin and Reynolds/Watt in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nys/Roger-Vasselin' if the team of Nys/Roger-Vasselin advances against Reynolds/Watt. This market will resolve to 'Reynolds/Watt' if the team of Reynolds/Watt advances against Nys/Roger-Vasselin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Nys/Roger-Vasselin and Reynolds/Watt in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nys/Roger-Vasselin' if the team of Nys/Roger-Vasselin advances against Reynolds/Watt. This market will resolve to 'Reynolds/Watt' if the team of Reynolds/Watt advances against Nys/Roger-Vasselin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' chances of success.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of Nys/Roger-Vasselin and Reynolds/Watt’s chances. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Lyon Open doubles match between Nys/Roger-Vasselin and Reynolds/Watt. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official results will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team composition for either Nys/Roger-Vasselin or Reynolds/Watt would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Lyon Open could also shift expectations and impact trading activity. Furthermore, general tennis news, such as analysis of the players’ recent form or head-to-head records, could contribute to changes in the market’s assessment of their respective probabilities of winning.