TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Arneodo/Blanchet and Escobar/Poonacha in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arneodo/Blanchet' if the team of Arneodo/Blanchet advances against Escobar/Poonacha. This market will resolve to 'Escobar/Poonacha' if the team of Escobar/Poonacha advances against Arneodo/Blanchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Arneodo/Blanchet and Escobar/Poonacha in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arneodo/Blanchet' if the team of Arneodo/Blanchet advances against Escobar/Poonacha. This market will resolve to 'Escobar/Poonacha' if the team of Escobar/Poonacha advances against Arneodo/Blanchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Polymarket toward what they perceive as the true probability. This can result in prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lyon Open doubles match between Arneodo/Blanchet and Escobar/Poonacha, as reported by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which pairing ultimately wins the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares on Polymarket. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Lyon Open, or strong performances from either team in other recent matches, could also impact the odds. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability as the Oct 27, 2026 approaches.