TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 1:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Altmaier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Altmaier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, can sometimes present more accurate probabilities, as participants are incentivized to bet based on their genuine beliefs. However, sportsbook odds reflect the views of professional oddsmakers and may incorporate information not yet fully priced into this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Altmaier vs Fritz match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Altmaier vs Fritz match as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential delays or disputes regarding the official result will be addressed based on available information and established procedures for verifying sporting event outcomes.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the Lyon Open, or any information suggesting a change in either player’s form, could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could temporarily impact the odds, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available.