TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Borna Gojo and Daniel Altmaier in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Borna Gojo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Borna Gojo and Daniel Altmaier in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Borna Gojo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes showing higher implied probabilities for certain outcomes than sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets aggregate information and wisdom of the crowd more effectively, potentially providing more accurate forecasts than individual sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Borna Gojo will win, for example, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lyon Open match between Borna Gojo and Daniel Altmaier as determined by tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially declared, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning outcome shares.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential players on Polymarket could create short-term price swings, reflecting a change in overall sentiment about the Lyon Open match.