TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Cameron Norrie in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Cameron Norrie. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Cameron Norrie in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Cameron Norrie. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bonzi vs Norrie match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The winning player will determine the outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s outlook for the Bonzi vs Norrie match.