TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Borna Gojo in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Borna Gojo. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Borna Gojo in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Borna Gojo. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus informed trader opinions regarding the Lyon Open match. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing levels of expertise between market participants and sportsbook oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a particular player winning the Lyon Open match, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lyon Open match between Arthur Fery and Borna Gojo, as reported by the tournament organizers. The player declared the winner by the official source will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the market leading up to the resolution of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Lyon Open, or a change in the players’ recent form, could also significantly impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a shift in confidence and move the market accordingly.