TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of a football game. Bettors can predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential return based on how high or low the threshold is set.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the LV Raiders and the NE Patriots during the 2nd Quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the 2nd Quarter count toward these markets, and all markets are independent, each with its own resolution criteria.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be over, the price of the 'over' contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Raiders-Patriots game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the final score. Traders who correctly predicted whether the total points would be over or under the specified threshold will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Raiders or the Patriots would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the 1st quarter – such as a dominant offensive showing by one team – could lead traders to adjust their predictions and alter the price of this market. Public betting trends and expert analysis could also play a role in influencing trader behavior.