TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming football game between the Las Vegas Raiders and the New England Patriots. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine the winner based on the points scored solely in that quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Las Vegas Raiders and the New England Patriots exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market specifies a different point spread threshold, ranging from over 1.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team to win by. If the specified team meets or exceeds the stated point spread during that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets operate independently of one another. The governing league's official scoring and game records will determine the resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or even initial sportsbook lines, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Raiders-Patriots 2nd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the Raiders-Patriots 2nd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second quarter of the Raiders-Patriots game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the league, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout amounts on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Raiders or the Patriots would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts related to the Raiders-Patriots 2nd quarter spread. Public perception and betting trends may also play a role.